2008 Cardinals Prospect #19 – Jon Jay

2008 Cardinals Prospect #19 – Jon Jay

Was his injury-shortened 2007 an aberration or is the former Miami U star overrated? Will history look back on him as a former batting champion, a wasted pick or something in between?

Scout.com Player Profile (including links to 2007 and career stats)

2007 Ranking: 9

Position: OF

DOB: 3/15/1985

Height: 5-foot-11

Weight: 200

Bats: L

Throws: L

School: Miami (FL)

Became a Cardinal: Selected in the second round (74th overall) of the June, 2006 First-Year Player Draft.

2007 stats

Tm

AVG

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SO

SB

OBP

SLG

OPS

GCL

0.500

2

0

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

0.500

0.500

1.000

SPR

0.235

102

17

24

2

2

11

38

19

4

1

0.333

0.373

0.706

PB

0.286

126

19

36

0

2

10

50

25

5

2

0.321

0.397

0.718

Tot

0.265

230

36

61

2

4

21

89

45

9

3

0.328

0.387

0.715

Staff Comments (individual rankings in parens)

Leonda Markee (24): Jay is the Cardinals' second round pick from the June 2006 draft and The Birdhouse's ninth-ranked prospect last year. I dropped him this year because his 2007 season did not come close to fulfilling the potential suggested a year ago. After skipping high-A Palm Beach, Jay began the season at Double-A Springfield where he struggled mightily. (That was before his head-first slide on May 3rd that injured his right shoulder.) That injury eventually landed him on the disabled list. In fact Jay only had 230 at bats in 2007 due to various injuries.

He was re-assigned to Palm Beach where he hit for a decent average but that is about it. Jay did not either get on base much or hit for power. Lest you think he may have been unlucky at the plate, Jay had a .272 BABIP at Springfield and a .343 BABIP at Palm Beach. Jay turns 23 in March 2008 so has some time and he certainly has the projected upside. Here is hoping that 2008 better fulfills that upside than did 2007.

Dustin Mattison (19): The guy some Cardinal scouts believe could win a batting title one day suffered a setback in 2007, seeing action in only 59 games due to a bad shoulder and a bad wrist. Jay was selected in the second round in the 2006 draft after a stellar career at the University of Miami and Team USA. Big things were expected out of Jay after hitting .342/.416/.462 during his 2006 professional debut.

His tools are solid across the board except for power. The 22-year-old shows good patience and a mature approach at the plate. A capable centerfielder, Jay's lack of power as a corner outfielder does hurt his prospect status as Colby Rasmus is projected in center for years to come.

Ray Mileur (30): Selected in the second round (74th overall) of the June, 2006 First-Year Player Draft, Jay is expected to be one of those players who can hit, get on base and make things happen, but he struggled to do all three once he was promoted to Double-A Springfield. Jay hit just .235/.333/.373 with two home runs and 11 RBI in, 29 games and 102 at-bats.

Jay didn't demonstrate the plate discipline he had in his first professional season, when he walked 28 times and struck out only 27 times, in 234 at-bats. This past season, Jay struck out 45 times, drawing only 16 walks in 230 at-bats. He's still expected to hit and is one of the best position players in the organization.

Brian Walton (11): Some guys are five-tool players, yet some detractors seem to think Jay has none. I am not one of them. I like his line-drive bat and plate discipline and am not worried about his power yet. Jay can run, which enables him to be a solid defender in centerfield as well as steal a base when needed.

I look at 2008 as a very important year for Jay. Either he can step up and prepare to compete with the group on the fringes of the major league roster or he can drop back in the pack. If his shoulder is sound, I see him being very capable of achieving the former.

Key: NR = not ranked, NA = not applicable

To see our entire list of 40 prospects as they are unveiled daily, click here. You can also read each of the voters' philosophies in making their selections.

© 2007 stlcardinals.scout.com. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, rewritten or redistributed.

TheCardinalNation.com Recommended Stories


Up Next


Tweets