The
St. Louis Cardinals recently named John Mozeliak as the twelfth General Manager
in the team’s history. Through the years, Mozeliak has filled a variety of
roles for the Cardinals, such as heading up the draft in 2003 and
2004.
Jeff
Luhnow is now leading the Cardinals’ drafts, but we will review the last two
drafts under Mozeliak. With
the Cardinals rededication to the farm system and player development, a look at
those two could be educational as well as
entertaining.
2003
- What Might Have Been
This
draft had the potential to really change the course of a farm system that has
struggled mightily to develop pitching. The Cardinals were unable to come
to terms with prep right-handers and future first rounders, Ian Kennedy, Brett
Sinkbeil, and Max Scherzer. This draft though has produced some depth and
two players that have held the distinction as the top prospect in the
system. But with the loss of three prep pitchers, this draft is more
likely to be looked at as what might have been.
The
Cardinals were thought to have over drafted high school catcher Daric Barton. Many industry insiders thought he would still be available in the
second round, but the Cardinals’ scouts loved his left-handed bat and didn’t
want to take any chances. Barton quickly established himself as the best
hitting prospect in the system but he was moved out from behind the plate and
tried as an outfielder.
The
Cardinals then traded him along with Dan Haren and Kiko Calero in December of
2004 for Mark Mulder. Barton has gone on to establish himself as one of the
better prospects in all of baseball and he will have a chance to make the A’s as
their starting first baseman in 2008.
Second
round pick Stuart Pomeranz was also drafted out of high school and struggled in
his first taste of professional baseball. He quickly paid dividends for the
Cardinals though, with a 12-4 record in his first full professional season at
low Class A Peoria in 2004.
Pomeranz
was moving steadily through the system until a shoulder problem sidelined him
for most of 2007. Pomeranz has since bounced back with an impressive
performance early on in the Arizona Fall League. He could definitely
contribute as a mid to back of the rotation starter or a steady middle
reliever.
Skipping
ahead to the 15th round, the Cardinals took a chance on an
oft-injured pitcher out of the University
of Southern
California,
Anthony Reyes. A late sign, Reyes did not see his first professional action
until 2004 and found himself in St. Louis
in 2005. Reyes had established himself as the top prospect in a thin system
and even though he has shown flashes of brilliance, he has had philosophy
clashes with Tony La Russa and Dave Duncan. The jury is still out as to
whether or not he will be back in 2008.
Dennis Dove was selected out of Georgia
Southern in the third round. Dove’s results never matched his overpowering
fastball so the Cardinals converted him to the bullpen in 2006. The switch
clicked and he found himself temporarily in St.
Louis
in 2007. He struggled in only three appearances and was shut down due to a
shoulder injury that required surgery. If healthy, Dove should hopefully
contribute in 2008.
Seventh-round
pick Brendan Ryan was one of the biggest surprises for the 2007
Cardinals. Called up due to an injury to shortstop David Eckstein, Ryan had
played too well to send back down once Eckstein returned. Ryan has firmly
established himself as a part of the Cardinals’ future and could possibly go to
spring training as the starting shortstop depending on the upcoming
off-season.
19th
round selection Jason Motte was a solid defensive, but questionable hitting
catcher out of Iona
College. Management
held out hopes that he would eventually show some progress with his bat but when
he did not, the Cardinals converted him to a relief pitcher in
2006.
With
a mid-nineties fastball, Motte has been fast-tracked through the system,
appearing in 45 games for Double-A Springfield in 2007. Early results from
the Arizona Fall League have been promising. He should start the year at Triple-A
Memphis.
As
mentioned above, 14th round pick Ian Kennedy was unable to come to an
agreement with the Cardinals and went on to star at Southern
California
and Team U.S.A. He
is now in the Yankees system and made his New
York
debut in 2007 after being a first round pick in 2006. He has a very good chance to be in the
Yankees’ starting rotation in 2008.
38th
round pick Brett Sinkbeil failed to come to terms and went on to be the highest
drafted player in the history of the Missouri
State
baseball program. The Florida Marlins drafted Sinkbeil with the
19th overall pick and he pitched for high Class A Jupiter in
2007.
43rd
round pick Max Scherzer was drafted out of
Parkway
Central
High
School
in St.
Louis. The
local product went on to star at the University
of Missouri
and became the highest drafted player in that program’s history, eleventh
overall to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Scherzer did not sign until just
before the 2007 draft but found himself in Double-A Mobile by the end of the
season.
2004
- "Moneyball"
Widely
panned throughout the industry, the Cardinals drafted almost entirely
college players. The team stuck
with the “Moneyball” philosophy, selecting stat-heavy college players instead of
high-upside high school talent. The
final count was 43 college players drafted compared to only four high school
players.
Three
and a half years later, this draft still makes most draftniks cringe. The Cardinals’ top selection never
panned out and is with another organization. 75% of those drafted no longer are
members of the Cardinals minor league system. The organization can only hope for a
possible utility infielder, a back of the rotation starter, and a few intriguing
bullpen arms.
Jarrett
Hoffpauir, a sixth round selection, seems to be the only player drafted that has
a chance of being an everyday player.
An afterthought for most of his professional career, Hoffpauir broke out
in 2007. Starting the year at
Double-A Springfield, he was named a Texas League All-Star. He was then promoted to
Memphis
where his numbers were not nearly as impressive but he did hold his own.
The
24 year-old was rewarded for his excellent season with a trip to the Arizona
Fall League. Due to lack of depth
in the middle infield, Hoffpauir could have a shot at the second base job for
the Cardinals but he projects more as a utility infielder. Think Aaron Miles with a little
more pop.
The
Cardinals selected Chris Lambert of Boston
College
in the first round in 2004. The
Cardinals were enamored with his arm strength even though he was inexperienced
as a pitcher. The only
high
point
during his tenure with the Cardinals was a 7-1 record at high Class A Palm Beach
in 2005.
He
had a lot of trouble with command and the Cardinals moved him to the
bullpen. Lambert still struggled to
find any consistency and was the player to be named later in the Mike Maroth
trade with Detroit.
Of
the starters chosen, ninth-round pick Mike Parisi seems to be the only pitcher
capable of helping the rotation and he is coming off a 13-loss season at
Memphis. The 24-year-old does possess a heavy
sinker enabling him to induce quite a few ground outs, a big plus with the
current regime.
Second-round
pick Mike Ferris was selected out of Miami,
Ohio. A pretty good defensive first baseman,
Ferris has failed to hit with any consistency. He made it to Triple-A Memphis due to
need, not performance. Unless there
is a huge break out in his future, this is most likely where he caps out.
Third-round
selection Eric Haberer has struggled with command for most of his career. The former Southern Illinois
pitcher has started for most of his Minor League career but may better suited
out of the bullpen. The southpaw
allowed only a .197 average against lefties in 2007.
Twelfth
round selection Mark Worrell and 21st round pick Mike Sillman are
side-winding relievers who have had success in relief throughout their Minor
League careers. Worrell seems to
have a little more upside and might pan out as a situational right-hander.
The
best that can be said about these two drafts are the results are mixed. If the team could have come to terms
with the three prep right-handers, this organization would be set with starting
pitching for years to come.
Instead, this team is struggling to find options for its rotation.
Let’s
hope that Mozeliak overseeing the entire organization in the future pays bigger
dividends than these two drafts have provided.
Dustin Mattison can be reached via
email at dustin@whiteyball.com.
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